Will Russia and Ukraine sign a ceasefire before September?
The market is leaning cold. Traders see diplomacy staying noisy, but not decisive, before late summer. Choose a market from the right rail and this spread rewrites itself like a front page.
Market temperature
Fragile
Negotiation chatter is up, but conviction remains thin. Most volume still clusters around delay rather than breakthrough.
Ceasefire by Sept. 1
22%
Down 4 pts this week
Heavy debate
Take a read
Consensus read: price action suggests attention is high, but conviction is still concentrated in the current majority view.
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